Toluca vs Monterrey
AI match preview · Liga MX (Mexico) · Estadio Nemesio Diez
18+ · Model estimate, not a guarantee · Responsible gambling
Draw / Under 2.5
ODYSSEUS
—
No ODYSSEUS estimate above 30 in 100 for this match
League average 26 in 100
Over 2.5 goals
ACHILLES
62 in 100
ACHILLES estimate: 62 in 100
38 in 100 2 goals or fewer
League average 56 in 100
Both teams to score
LEONIDAS
68 in 100
LEONIDAS estimate: 68 in 100
32 in 100 at least one team without a goal
League average 61 in 100
What the PZM model says
- Draw / Under 2.5: no ODYSSEUS estimate above 30 in 100.
- Over 2.5 goals: ACHILLES estimate 62 in 100 (HIGH). League average in our data: 56 in 100. Official AI pick, part of the public track record.
- Both teams to score: LEONIDAS estimate 68 in 100 (HIGH). League average in our data: 61 in 100. Official AI pick, part of the public track record.
Last model run: Fri 6 Nov 2026, 23:17 UTC
AI briefing
What changed this week
- Chivas and Cruz Azul are level on points at the top of Liga MX with two matchdays remaining. (CBS Sports Soccer, Sat 07 Nov 2026, 12:30 UTC)
- Club America's poor recent form has cost them their earlier league lead. (CBS Sports Soccer, Sat 07 Nov 2026, 12:30 UTC)
Context
Liga MX's title race has tightened with two matchdays left in the 2026 season. Chivas and Cruz Azul now lead the table while defending champions Club America have fallen away from contention.
Published after the model's last run (Fri 6 Nov 2026, 23:17 UTC)
The title race update came after the model run. Over 2.5 goals is rated HIGH at 62 in 100, and both teams to score is rated HIGH at 68 in 100.
1 article published after the 23:17 UTC run mentioned these clubs; the model did not use it.
Updated Sat 7 Nov 2026, 12:55 UTC
From our AI newsroom
- Liga MX Title Race Tightens: Chivas and Cruz Azul Level as America Stumble (CBS Sports Soccer, Sat 7 Nov 2026, 12:30 UTC)
What stands out in this match
Values of this match that differ most from our other matches, and which way they moved the model.
Over 2.5 goals ACHILLES
This model weighs shots on target most.
- ↑ Toluca: shots per match: 18.6 (usually 12.8)
- ↑ Toluca: shots on target per match: 6.3 (usually 4.2)
- ↑ Toluca: corners per match: 6.8 (usually 4.8)
Both teams to score LEONIDAS
This model weighs shots on target most.
- ↑ Toluca: shots per match: 18.6 (usually 12.8)
- ↑ Toluca: shots on target per match: 6.3 (usually 4.2)
- ↑ Both teams together: shots on target per match: 11.6 (usually 8.8)
Model estimate, not a guarantee · 18+
Full live track record · every official AI pick, hits and misses
More AI previews in Liga MX (Mexico)
- Tigres UANL vs Cruz AzulTop level: HIGHOfficial AI pickODYSSEUS 31 in 100ACHILLES 62 in 100LEONIDAS 68 in 100
- Leon vs Guadalajara ChivasTop level: HIGHOfficial AI pickODYSSEUS 35 in 100ACHILLES 57 in 100LEONIDAS 67 in 100
- Atlas vs CF PachucaTop level: MEDIUMODYSSEUS 32 in 100ACHILLES 50 in 100LEONIDAS 56 in 100
- U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club AmericaTop level: MEDIUMACHILLES 53 in 100LEONIDAS 56 in 100
- Club Queretaro vs PueblaTop level: LOWACHILLES 43 in 100LEONIDAS 47 in 100
18+ · Model estimate, not a guarantee · Responsible gambling