Derby vs Bolton
AI match preview · Championship (England) · Pride Park
No HIGH signal on this match
18+ · Model estimate, not a guarantee · Responsible gambling
Draw / Under 2.5
ODYSSEUS
31 in 100
ODYSSEUS estimate: 31 in 100
69 in 100 no draw
League average 27 in 100
No draw · model estimate was 31 in 100
Over 2.5 goals
ACHILLES
50 in 100
ACHILLES estimate: 50 in 100
50 in 100 2 goals or fewer
League average 54 in 100
Over 2.5 goals · model estimate was 50 in 100
Both teams to score
LEONIDAS
56 in 100
LEONIDAS estimate: 56 in 100
44 in 100 at least one team without a goal
League average 58 in 100
Both teams score · model estimate was 56 in 100
After the match
Derby 3-1 Bolton
AI post-mortem
Result: Derby 3-1 Bolton.
| Derby | Bolton | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Half time | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 30 | Possession % | 70 |
| 1.63 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.75 |
What the PZM model says
- Draw / Under 2.5: ODYSSEUS estimate 31 in 100 (MEDIUM). League average in our data: 27 in 100.
- Over 2.5 goals: ACHILLES estimate 50 in 100 (LOW). League average in our data: 54 in 100.
- Both teams to score: LEONIDAS estimate 56 in 100 (MEDIUM). League average in our data: 58 in 100.
- No HIGH signal on this match.
Last model run: Fri 6 Nov 2026, 19:03 UTC
Full live track record · every official AI pick, hits and misses
18+ · Model estimate, not a guarantee · Responsible gambling